Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.064813 0.071645 0.079115 0.087929 0.098092 0.109504 0.123373
2024-10-20 0.054182 0.063400 0.074288 0.088253 0.105922 0.127857 0.157668
2024-10-27 0.046543 0.056839 0.069735 0.087410 0.111547 0.144214 0.193348
2024-11-03 0.041768 0.052823 0.067366 0.088458 0.119278 0.164431 0.239308
2024-11-10 0.038119 0.049626 0.065396 0.089411 0.126665 0.185358 0.292226
2024-11-17 0.034850 0.046457 0.062912 0.089021 0.131675 0.203376 0.345795
2024-11-24 0.032541 0.044328 0.061569 0.090004 0.138824 0.226333 0.416459
2024-12-01 0.030611 0.042511 0.060415 0.091006 0.146030 0.250944 0.500332
2024-12-08 0.028900 0.040833 0.059245 0.091737 0.152770 0.276227 0.597218
2024-12-15 0.027243 0.039071 0.057727 0.091608 0.157789 0.299183 0.699966
2024-12-22 0.025589 0.037166 0.055775 0.090414 0.160440 0.317582 0.800360
2024-12-29 0.024644 0.036313 0.055476 0.092184 0.169451 0.353421 0.978777
2025-01-05 0.023183 0.034528 0.053461 0.090519 0.170985 0.371701 1.112953
2025-01-12 0.022253 0.033558 0.052783 0.091389 0.178402 0.408238 1.352279
2025-01-19 0.021182 0.032272 0.051428 0.090727 0.182150 0.435952 1.584316
2025-01-26 0.020464 0.031537 0.051003 0.091922 0.190660 0.481382 1.964666
2025-02-02 0.019782 0.030817 0.050538 0.092965 0.199029 0.530115 2.446191
2025-02-09 0.018978 0.029825 0.049476 0.092571 0.203557 0.567884 2.931978
2025-02-16 0.018405 0.029208 0.049079 0.093613 0.212277 0.625479 3.716048
2025-02-23 0.017873 0.028632 0.048710 0.094671 0.221325 0.689524 4.773289
2025-03-02 0.017346 0.028031 0.048245 0.095442 0.229748 0.756188 6.152165
2025-03-09 0.016764 0.027291 0.047442 0.095307 0.235394 0.814134 7.742064
2025-03-16 0.016112 0.026387 0.046238 0.094049 0.237228 0.855251 9.347562